Data and math, not hunches.
PrizmBet shows its work.
See every angle.
Including the ones against.
Every game and race broken into the factors that actually move it — scored, weighted, and explained. Including the ones arguing the other way.
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How often we’re right, by confidence
Every PrizmBet call carries a confidence %. Here’s how each confidence level actually finished. 2026 season, every graded game, misses included.
NBA · 155 games · 72.9% right
| Confidence | Record | Right |
|---|---|---|
| 70%+ | 22–14 | 61.1% |
| 60–69% | 77–23 | 77.0% |
| 55–59% | 11–3 | 78.6% |
| Under 55% | 3–2 | 60.0% |
MLB · 2,167 games · 54.5% right
| Confidence | Record | Right |
|---|---|---|
| 70%+ | 27–10 | 73.0% |
| 60–69% | 294–244 | 54.6% |
| 55–59% | 370–343 | 51.9% |
| Under 55% | 491–388 | 55.9% |
NFL · 33 games so far · 57.6% right
| Confidence | Record | Right |
|---|---|---|
| 70%+ | 6–4 | 60.0% |
| 60–69% | 9–5 | 64.3% |
| 55–59% | 2–1 | 66.7% |
| Under 55% | 2–4 | 33.3% |
Early-season sample. We’ll keep updating it.
Horse racing · last 30 days · 1,352 races
| Confidence | 1st | Top 2 | Top 3 | Races |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65%+ | 33.6% | 56.0% | 69.9% | 259 |
| 55–64% | 27.9% | 45.4% | 59.2% | 738 |
| Under 55% | 26.5% | 41.4% | 54.9% | 355 |
Where our top-ranked horse finished · 15 tracks · to Sept 26 · every race graded
What you actually get
The full factor breakdown
Not a pick with a number beside it. Every factor weighed, what it scored, how much it moved the call.
The misses, not just the hits
Every graded result stays visible. Check our record yourself instead of taking our word for it.
Confidence you can check
Every call carries a confidence %. Every result is graded against it, level by level.
PrizmBet is a data-driven decision-support tool. Not a sportsbook. It does not accept wagers and does not sell picks. Data only, not betting advice. 21+. Where sports wagering is legal, most states require you to be 21+.
Figures from PrizmBet’s graded results database: one final result per game, all confidence levels included, 2026 season.
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